LONG FORM WEEKLY AFFIRMATION: A NATIONAL FOOTBALL MYTH
One of life’s deepest truths – especially in this information age – is that multiple tensions will coexist throughout our years on this planet, challenging us to hold many competing forces in a delicate balancing act. We are assaulted by seemingly contradictory messages at every stage of life, and are therefore vulnerable to all sorts of glitches in our thought processes. The superabundant amount of information in modern life has pressured the human organism by imposing even more demands on the brain. We must filter and sift through so much more raw material than we used to; it is as though our minds have become the hamster on the treadmill in the watchtower, never really stopping to make careful, deliberate distinctions. Deep breaths between actions are rare; accordingly, the slow art of finely-calibrated analysis suffers, causing us to think that we must pit competing tensions against each other.
It’s not as though human beings are at fault for failing to balance competing tensions. It’s hard, if not impossible, to wake up one morning and stand against a tidal wave of data you didn’t covet or expect. Insisting on “slow thinking” can’t easily be done – not when the demands on our time are even more urgent and so many snap decisions have to be made in the course of everyday life. When mass society produces transformational technological events that upend the ways in which the mind operates, we are – to an extent – prisoners of the new reality. We can make certain adjustments, but the larger flow of life forces us to follow paths we didn’t carve out ourselves. Cognitive complexity gets lost in the tiring chase to merely keep up with the daily blasts of information that demand our attention.
It’s okay. Life is difficult. Managing information is particularly challenging. Holding tensions in balance is one of the most unsettling endeavors we can possibly undertake.
With that having been said, let’s try to do just that.
College football’s argumentative subculture is very easy to identify. The swirling rush of each concentrated 12-game season is such an intense experience that it’s hard to reshape the contours of the arguments that come our way each year. We know that the Southeastern Conference is the toughest conference with the best track record in big-game situations. We know that one-loss SEC teams will always get pitted against unbeaten teams from other conferences if such a scenario exists at the end of a given regular season. In this argumentative subculture, SEC apologists will reflexively point to the difficulty of surviving the league intact over the course of the regular season. SEC opponents will just as reflexively cite the non-conference schedules of upper-tier schools in the conference. The debate really doesn’t change that much from year to year. The playoff-BCS-plus one arguments haven’t changed much, either.
It’s all rather boring and depressing… no, not that the SEC continues to make and win the most significant game of each college football season (there’s nothing wrong with that), but that the quality of various arguments isn’t really evolving. If you’ve argued about the BCS one year, you’ve argued about it every year. One national championship debate doesn’t seem to be all that different from another. The talking points are predictable; it’s only a matter of which side will adopt them.
In 2003, Oklahoma fans were in no position to tout their team’s non-conference schedule. In 2008, that’s exactly what they used to try to argue around the harsh reality of Texas’s 10-point win against the Sooners on a neutral field. That’s not an indictment of OU fans; it’s just one of many examples of how a limited sample size – 12 or 13 games – makes a college football season an insufficient determinant of the two best teams in the country, the two that play for the “national” championship.
These are not new revelations, but they demand repeating: A team’s 12 or 13 games are played primarily within a conference. Of the three or four non-conference games a team plays each season, almost all of them occur within that team’s home region. Most non-conference games involve substantially inferior opponents as well. The point is plain: Few college football powerhouses play very many games outside their conference and home region against credible opposition. When using a term such as “credible,” one should establish a reasonable metric. A non-conference opponent should either possess the reputation and cachet of an upper-tier program, or it should be coming off an impressive season. A “credible” opponent should basically possess a set of attributes that make a game something more than a slam dunk on the schedule.
Just how rarely do top college football teams challenge themselves out of their own conference and region against <i>credible</i> non-conference opposition? The Weekly Affirmation looked at the past 25 seasons and found that only <i>five</i> national champions (split or outright) played at least three regular-season non-conference games outside their region against credible opposition. Yes, your mileage may vary in terms of defining “credible” opponents; if you see certain teams missing from the schedules of recent national champions mentioned below, you might have a good argument to make. The teams included on this list as “credible” opponents are the no-brainers in this discussion. Excluded teams are the debatable ones. To further explain the parameters of these lists of credible opponents, consider the example of San Diego State on the 1991 Miami list. San Diego State has not been a particularly solid program over the long run of history. By that measurement, the Aztecs shouldn’t be considered a credible opponent for “The U” 20 years ago. However, the Aztecs of the early 1990s had a player named Marshall Faulk on their roster. They weren’t an automatic win and therefore deserve to be seen as credible.
Here’s a more precise explanation of these lists: The teams mentioned on the left are the 14 national champions from the past 25 seasons that played at least TWO credible non-conference opponents outside their regions during the regular season. (This obviously means that 11 national champions couldn’t meet that modest standard of regional diversity in their schedules.) The national champions are followed by the credible (non-conference, non-regional) teams they played.
2004 USC - Notre Dame and Virginia Tech
2003 USC (split title with LSU) - Notre Dame and Auburn
2002 OSU - Washington State and Texas Tech
2001 Miami - Washington and Penn State
1997 Michigan - Colorado and Notre Dame
1995 Nebraska - Michigan State, Washington State, and Arizona State
1994 Nebraska - West Virginia and UCLA
1991 Washington - Kansas State and Nebraska<br/>
1991 Miami - Houston, Arkansas, San Diego State, and Penn State
1990 Colorado - Texas, Illinois and Tennessee
1989 Miami - Michigan State, Notre Dame, and San Diego State
1988 Notre Dame - Air Force, Miami, and USC
1987 Miami – Arkansas and Notre Dame
1986 Penn State – Alabama and Maryland
Here are a few follow-up notes worth keeping in mind: First, Miami played in the Big East in 1991 but competed in only two conference games that year. Miami might as well have remained an independent program. Therefore, of the five college football national champions since 1986 that have played at least three non-conference, non-regional regular season games, only two of them played a full conference schedule as well: the 1990 Colorado Buffaloes and the 1995 Nebraska Cornhuskers.
A second important note is that in the Bowl Championship Series era, not one team has played at least three credible non-conference, non-regional foes in the regular season. A third note is that while 14 national champions have played at least two credible non-conference, non-regional opponents during the regular season, those 14 champions come from just nine schools.
In conclusion, a rational and reasonable person cannot process these facts and conclude that college football crowns “national” champions. This is a sport that crowns regional champions and stages one national game in early January to create the pretense that a team is superior on a national level. This is why college football needs to embrace the Bracket Buster concept. Give schools two paycheck/cupcake games in the non-conference realm, but not three or four. Settle the conference championships before Thanksgiving, give schools a break on Thanksgiving weekend (so that players and coaches can celebrate the holiday with loved ones), and then play two REGULAR-SEASON non-conference games on the first two weeks of December, matching teams from different conferences and, if possible, regions. Then college football can own at least a partial claim to having a <i>national</i> champion.
Right now, the notion of a national champion in college football is quite obviously a false one. Instructively, notice how the list of 14 teams does not include ONE SEC team. See, SEC fans? The Weekly Affirmation has shown that it is possible to hate this sport’s postseason arrangement and not make SEC hegemony a point of complaint or dissatisfaction.